Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5594 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

OH 5594 · DFW → LEX

departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 7:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

LEX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5594 · DFW → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?