Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 9952 LANDED 12:23 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OH 9952 · GNV → PHL

took off 10:15 AM ET · landed 12:23 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GNV (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 9952 · GNV → PHL

Odds over time