Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3006 · SAN → SMF
departs 7:56 PM PT · arrives 9:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 32%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.