OO 3029 · SAN → DEN

departs 3:45 PM PT · arrives 7:09 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±3 pts +44 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3029 · SAN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?