OO 3036 · SAN → SJC

took off 10:19 AM PT · landed 11:25 AM PT (scheduled 9:34 AM PT → 11:13 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ SAN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Arrivals into SJC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3036 · SAN → SJC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJC?