Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3061
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3061 · SAN → PHX
departs 4:45 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 34%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 39%
Tue 10/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAN that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.