Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3133 · SAN → FAT
departs 5:58 PM PT · arrives 7:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.