Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3214 LANDED 2:14 PM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

OO 3214 · SAN → SBP

took off 1:31 PM PT · landed 2:14 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at SBP that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SBP (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3214 · SAN → SBP

Odds over time