OO 3225 · STS → BUR

departs 7:01 PM PT · arrives 8:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

STS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3225 · STS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?