OO 327 · ORD → ROA

departs 7:47 PM CT · arrives 10:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at ROA that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.30 in

ROA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 327 · ORD → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?