OO 3444 · SAN → SBP

departs 10:32 PM PT · arrives 11:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SBP?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SBP that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SBP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3444 · SAN → SBP

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBP?