OO 3465 · SFO → SNA

departs 8:49 PM PT · arrives 10:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3465 · SFO → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?