Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 3472 · SAN → FAT
departs 9:57 PM PT · arrives 11:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
9pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.