Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3694 LANDED 3:01 PM PT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 3694 · SNA → SEA

took off 12:37 PM PT · landed 3:01 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3694 · SNA → SEA

Odds over time