OO 3747 · ATL → XNA

departs 11:03 PM ET · arrives 12:02 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 11pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3747 · ATL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?