OO 3992 · SEA → PSC

took off 11:09 AM PT · landed 11:45 AM PT (scheduled 10:35 AM PT → 11:43 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PSC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PSC is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into PSC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3992 · SEA → PSC

Odds over time

How late did it get to PSC?