Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 4054 · SLC → TUS
departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 7%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into TUS at that hour are often late
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.