OO 4070 · SEA → ONT

took off 8:28 AM PT · expected to land 10:37 AM PT (scheduled 8:25 AM PT → 11:17 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ONT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ 8am departures from SEA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4070 · SEA → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?