OO 4091 · ABQ → LAX

departs 6:48 PM MT · arrives 7:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4091 · ABQ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?