OO 4101 · AUS → IND

took off 7:13 AM CT · landed 10:22 AM ET (scheduled 7:10 AM CT → 10:54 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

IND (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4101 · AUS → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?