OO 4111 · ATL → SHV

took off 3:40 PM ET · expected to land 4:00 PM CT (scheduled 3:41 PM ET → 4:34 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SHV?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SHV

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SHV (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4111 · ATL → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?