OO 4119 · PHX → LAX

took off 10:52 AM MT · landed 11:53 AM PT (scheduled 10:37 AM MT → 12:08 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from PHX are often late

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4119 · PHX → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?