Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4145 LANDED 5:04 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 4145 · GEG → SEA

took off 4:10 PM PT · landed 5:04 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4145 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time