OO 4294 · IMT → DTW

departs 5:12 PM CT · arrives 7:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IMT (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4294 · IMT → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?