OO 4335 · DTW → PLN

took off 5:44 PM ET · landed 6:29 PM ET (scheduled 3:55 PM ET → 5:11 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PLN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PLN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at PLN that day

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ PLN usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

PLN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4335 · DTW → PLN

Odds over time

How late did it get to PLN?