OO 4645 · ORD → FWA

departs 10:25 AM CT · arrives 12:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.14 in

FWA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4645 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?