OO 4650 · BIS → DEN

departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 7:28 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ BIS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BIS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4650 · BIS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?