OO 4675 · COS → DEN

departs 11:31 AM MT · arrives 12:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.65 in

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4675 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?