OO 4692 · MLI → DEN

took off 9:21 AM CT · expected to land 10:13 AM MT (scheduled 9:05 AM CT → 10:35 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.29 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4692 · MLI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?