OO 4718 · DEN → MKE

departs 1:43 PM MT · arrives 5:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

MKE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4718 · DEN → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?