Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4723 LANDED 10:04 AM PT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 4723 · LAX → SBP

took off 9:35 AM PT · landed 10:04 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SBP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4723 · LAX → SBP

Odds over time