Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4724 LANDED 5:10 PM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

OO 4724 · LAX → FAT

took off 4:29 PM PT · landed 5:10 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

FAT (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4724 · LAX → FAT

Odds over time