OO 4904 · ORD → CLE

took off 2:17 PM CT · landed 4:05 PM ET (scheduled 1:59 PM CT → 4:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.88 in

CLE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4904 · ORD → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?