Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4907 LANDED 11:19 AM MT, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

OO 4907 · PHX → ELP

took off 9:28 AM MT · landed 11:19 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4907 · PHX → ELP

Odds over time