OO 4910 · ELP → LAX

took off 6:47 AM MT · landed 7:30 AM PT (scheduled 6:01 AM MT → 7:14 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from ELP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4910 · ELP → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?