OO 4972 · IDA → DFW

departs 2:19 PM MT · arrives 6:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IDA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IDA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4972 · IDA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?