OO 4976 · LNK → DFW

departs 2:42 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 567 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.9 in of rain forecast at LNK that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ LNK usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LNK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling567 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.88 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4976 · LNK → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?