Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4979 LANDED 11:12 AM MT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 4979 · FLG → PHX

took off 10:44 AM MT · landed 11:12 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLG that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ 10am departures from FLG are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLG (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.36 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4979 · FLG → PHX

Odds over time