OO 4980 · ORD → FNT

departs 3:03 PM CT · arrives 5:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.86 in

FNT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4980 · ORD → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?