OO 4985 · SAF → DFW

took off 6:17 AM MT · landed 8:38 AM CT (scheduled 6:16 AM MT → 9:12 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.77 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4985 · SAF → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?