OO 5019 · DEN → ATY

departs 2:18 PM MT · arrives 5:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ATY more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATY?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at ATY that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

ATY (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5019 · DEN → ATY

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATY?