OO 5025 · IAD → MGW

departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 11:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MGW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MGW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MGW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5025 · IAD → MGW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGW?