Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5044 LANDED 6:44 AM MT, ~22 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

OO 5044 · FMN → DEN

took off 5:48 AM MT · landed 6:44 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FMN that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

FMN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.49 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5044 · FMN → DEN

Odds over time