Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5193 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

OO 5193 · ORD → MEM

departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 5:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.30 in

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5193 · ORD → MEM

Odds over time