Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5202 LANDED 1:33 PM MT, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

OO 5202 · DEN → TUS

took off 12:52 PM MT · landed 1:33 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5202 · DEN → TUS

Odds over time