OO 5290 · ORD → BOI

departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 10:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
42%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.86 in

BOI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5290 · ORD → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?