OO 5325 · COS → IAH

took off 7:55 AM MT · expected to land 10:45 AM CT (scheduled 7:56 AM MT → 11:30 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.75 in

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5325 · COS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?