OO 5331 · ORD → FWA

departs 3:36 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

FWA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5331 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?