OO 5353 · FSD → ORD

departs 6:33 PM CT · arrives 8:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ FSD is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5353 · FSD → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?