OO 5354 · IAH → ECP

departs 8:27 PM CT · arrives 10:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5354 · IAH → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?